Atascosa, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Atascosa, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 29.8 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,231 | 58.0% | 17.8 pts (1,909 votes) | 10,746 | — | 3.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,635 | 63.0% | 26.5 pts (3,214 votes) | 12,116 | -8.6 pts | 3.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,462 | 55.0% | 10.5 pts (1,047 votes) | 9,938 | +16.1 pts | 1.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 7,461 | 58.7% | 18.3 pts (2,328 votes) | 12,721 | -7.9 pts | 2.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 8,618 | 63.0% | 29.0 pts (3,967 votes) | 13,673 | -11.4 pts | 20.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,039 | 66.4% | 34.0 pts (6,163 votes) | 18,118 | -4.5 pts | 28.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,142 | 71.3% | 43.3 pts (7,989 votes) | 18,444 | -9.3 pts | 29.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 38,805 | 27.7% of population |
| 2004 | 42,109 | 28.8% of population |
| 2008 | 43,947 | 22.6% of population |
| 2012 | 46,438 | 27.4% of population |
| 2016 | 48,720 | 28.1% of population |
| 2020 | 49,290 | 36.8% of population |
| 2024 | 52,783 | 34.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Atascosa shifted 25.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Atascosa has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Atascosa voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Atascosa has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Atascosa?
Atascosa's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 10.6 points (1,047 votes) out of 9,938 total votes cast.
Has Atascosa ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Atascosa has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Atascosa?
The widest margin on record for Atascosa was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 43.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Atascosa relative to its population?
In 2024, 18,444 votes were recorded in Atascosa against a total population of 52,783 (34.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Atascosa a presidential bellwether county?
Atascosa has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).