Bastrop, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Bastrop, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 4.7 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,310 | 56.3% | 18.2 pts (3,337 votes) | 18,308 | — | 2.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 13,290 | 56.7% | 14.9 pts (3,496 votes) | 23,441 | +4.2 pts | 7.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 13,817 | 53.3% | 8.2 pts (2,130 votes) | 25,918 | +6.8 pts | 3.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 14,033 | 57.3% | 17.0 pts (4,169 votes) | 24,481 | -9.1 pts | 1.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 16,328 | 57.4% | 20.2 pts (5,759 votes) | 28,454 | -4.0 pts | 12.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 20,516 | 56.0% | 13.8 pts (5,042 votes) | 36,665 | +7.4 pts | 8.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,301 | 58.5% | 18.4 pts (7,312 votes) | 39,806 | -4.6 pts | 4.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 58,234 | 31.4% of population |
| 2004 | 67,122 | 34.9% of population |
| 2008 | 72,389 | 35.8% of population |
| 2012 | 74,749 | 32.8% of population |
| 2016 | 82,591 | 34.5% of population |
| 2020 | 98,072 | 37.4% of population |
| 2024 | 114,931 | 34.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Bastrop shifted 0.7 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Bastrop has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Bastrop voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Bastrop has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Bastrop?
Bastrop's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 8.4 points (2,130 votes) out of 25,918 total votes cast.
Has Bastrop ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Bastrop has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Bastrop?
The widest margin on record for Bastrop was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 21.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Bastrop relative to its population?
In 2024, 39,806 votes were recorded in Bastrop against a total population of 114,931 (34.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Bastrop a presidential bellwether county?
Bastrop has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).