Baylor, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Baylor, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 63.9 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,285 | 64.8% | 31.4 pts (622 votes) | 1,984 | — | 10.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,169 | 71.3% | 42.8 pts (702 votes) | 1,640 | -11.0 pts | 19.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,262 | 76.8% | 54.5 pts (896 votes) | 1,643 | -12.1 pts | 43.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,297 | 81.5% | 64.7 pts (1,030 votes) | 1,592 | -10.8 pts | 49.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,267 | 84.5% | 71.8 pts (1,076 votes) | 1,499 | -7.9 pts | 64.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,494 | 87.8% | 77.0 pts (1,311 votes) | 1,702 | -4.4 pts | 72.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,471 | 87.8% | 76.8 pts (1,287 votes) | 1,675 | +0.4 pts | 63.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 4,135 | 48.0% of population |
| 2004 | 3,955 | 41.5% of population |
| 2008 | 3,747 | 43.8% of population |
| 2012 | 3,590 | 44.3% of population |
| 2016 | 3,638 | 41.2% of population |
| 2020 | 3,462 | 49.2% of population |
| 2024 | 3,533 | 47.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Baylor shifted 45.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Baylor has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Baylor voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Baylor has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Baylor?
Baylor's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 31.9 points (622 votes) out of 1,984 total votes cast.
Has Baylor ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Baylor has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Baylor?
The widest margin on record for Baylor was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 78.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Baylor relative to its population?
In 2024, 1,675 votes were recorded in Baylor against a total population of 3,533 (47.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Baylor a presidential bellwether county?
Baylor has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).