Bailey, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Bailey, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 47.7 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,589 | 76.0% | 52.7 pts (1,101 votes) | 2,090 | — | 31.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,882 | 78.0% | 56.3 pts (1,357 votes) | 2,412 | -3.4 pts | 33.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,618 | 69.9% | 40.4 pts (936 votes) | 2,316 | +15.7 pts | 28.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,339 | 73.7% | 48.1 pts (873 votes) | 1,816 | -7.7 pts | 32.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,344 | 75.0% | 52.8 pts (947 votes) | 1,793 | -6.0 pts | 45.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,434 | 77.1% | 55.1 pts (1,025 votes) | 1,860 | -1.2 pts | 50.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,395 | 80.1% | 61.1 pts (1,063 votes) | 1,741 | -5.9 pts | 47.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 6,596 | 31.7% of population |
| 2004 | 6,945 | 34.7% of population |
| 2008 | 6,979 | 33.2% of population |
| 2012 | 7,139 | 25.4% of population |
| 2016 | 7,196 | 24.9% of population |
| 2020 | 6,867 | 27.1% of population |
| 2024 | 7,031 | 24.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Bailey shifted 8.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Bailey has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Bailey voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Bailey has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Bailey?
Bailey's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 40.7 points (936 votes) out of 2,316 total votes cast.
Has Bailey ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Bailey has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Bailey?
The widest margin on record for Bailey was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 61.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Bailey relative to its population?
In 2024, 1,741 votes were recorded in Bailey against a total population of 7,031 (24.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Bailey a presidential bellwether county?
Bailey has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).