Trinity, Texas — Presidential Election Results

Trinity, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 53.5 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Texas
2000 George W. Bush Republican 3,093 58.4% 18.0 pts (951 votes) 5,297 — 3.7 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 3,985 64.1% 28.7 pts (1,781 votes) 6,213 -10.6 pts 5.8 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 4,095 67.4% 35.7 pts (2,170 votes) 6,077 -7.3 pts 24.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 4,537 72.8% 46.9 pts (2,923 votes) 6,235 -11.5 pts 31.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 4,737 79.1% 59.9 pts (3,583 votes) 5,985 -13.3 pts 51.4 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 5,579 80.4% 61.3 pts (4,256 votes) 6,938 -0.8 pts 56.0 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 6,136 83.2% 67.0 pts (4,941 votes) 7,374 -5.7 pts 53.5 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 13,793 38.4% of population
2004 14,246 43.6% of population
2008 14,380 42.3% of population
2012 14,372 43.4% of population
2016 14,543 41.2% of population
2020 13,638 50.9% of population
2024 14,489 50.9% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Trinity shifted 49.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+18.2 pts 2004: R+28.8 pts 2008: R+36.0 pts 2012: R+47.5 pts 2016: R+60.8 pts 2020: R+61.7 pts 2024: R+67.4 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Trinity has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Texas Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Trinity voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Trinity has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Trinity?

Trinity's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 18.2 points (951 votes) out of 5,297 total votes cast.

Has Trinity ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Trinity has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Trinity?

The widest margin on record for Trinity was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 67.4 points.

How many votes were cast in Trinity relative to its population?

In 2024, 7,374 votes were recorded in Trinity against a total population of 14,489 (50.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Trinity a presidential bellwether county?

Trinity has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).