Tom Green, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Tom Green, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 34.6 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 24,733 | 71.4% | 44.6 pts (15,445 votes) | 34,626 | — | 23.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 28,185 | 75.3% | 51.3 pts (19,178 votes) | 37,417 | -6.2 pts | 28.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 27,362 | 70.4% | 41.7 pts (16,204 votes) | 38,861 | +9.5 pts | 30.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 26,878 | 73.2% | 47.9 pts (17,584 votes) | 36,720 | -6.5 pts | 32.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 27,494 | 71.5% | 47.6 pts (18,321 votes) | 38,479 | -1.4 pts | 40.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 32,313 | 71.5% | 44.4 pts (20,074 votes) | 45,210 | +4.9 pts | 39.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 33,399 | 73.5% | 48.0 pts (21,814 votes) | 45,460 | -3.4 pts | 34.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 104,083 | 33.3% of population |
| 2004 | 104,744 | 35.7% of population |
| 2008 | 107,639 | 36.1% of population |
| 2012 | 113,307 | 32.4% of population |
| 2016 | 117,634 | 32.7% of population |
| 2020 | 120,201 | 37.6% of population |
| 2024 | 120,103 | 37.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Tom Green shifted 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Tom Green has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Tom Green voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Tom Green has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Tom Green?
Tom Green's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 42.1 points (16,204 votes) out of 38,861 total votes cast.
Has Tom Green ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Tom Green has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Tom Green?
The widest margin on record for Tom Green was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 51.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Tom Green relative to its population?
In 2024, 45,460 votes were recorded in Tom Green against a total population of 120,103 (37.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Tom Green a presidential bellwether county?
Tom Green has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).