Smith, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Smith, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 31.6 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 43,320 | 71.5% | 44.3 pts (26,850 votes) | 60,624 | — | 23.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 53,392 | 72.5% | 45.4 pts (33,422 votes) | 73,664 | -0.7 pts | 22.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 55,187 | 69.4% | 39.5 pts (31,461 votes) | 79,561 | +5.7 pts | 28.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 57,331 | 72.0% | 45.1 pts (35,875 votes) | 79,601 | -5.7 pts | 29.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 58,930 | 69.5% | 43.2 pts (36,630 votes) | 84,768 | +0.4 pts | 35.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 69,080 | 69.0% | 39.4 pts (39,465 votes) | 100,089 | +5.1 pts | 34.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 74,862 | 72.1% | 45.1 pts (46,821 votes) | 103,879 | -5.5 pts | 31.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 175,658 | 34.5% of population |
| 2004 | 187,300 | 39.3% of population |
| 2008 | 203,263 | 39.1% of population |
| 2012 | 214,811 | 37.1% of population |
| 2016 | 225,161 | 37.6% of population |
| 2020 | 234,200 | 42.7% of population |
| 2024 | 249,091 | 41.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Smith shifted 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Smith has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Smith voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Smith has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Smith?
Smith's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 39.9 points (31,461 votes) out of 79,561 total votes cast.
Has Smith ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Smith has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Smith?
The widest margin on record for Smith was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 45.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Smith relative to its population?
In 2024, 103,879 votes were recorded in Smith against a total population of 249,091 (41.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Smith a presidential bellwether county?
Smith has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).