Refugio, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Refugio, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 25.9 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,721 | 58.9% | 18.8 pts (549 votes) | 2,921 | — | 2.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,212 | 64.0% | 28.4 pts (980 votes) | 3,455 | -9.5 pts | 5.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,855 | 56.9% | 14.5 pts (473 votes) | 3,261 | +13.8 pts | 2.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,663 | 62.1% | 24.8 pts (665 votes) | 2,677 | -10.4 pts | 9.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,830 | 62.1% | 27.0 pts (796 votes) | 2,948 | -2.8 pts | 18.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,210 | 65.7% | 32.7 pts (1,102 votes) | 3,366 | -5.4 pts | 27.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,134 | 69.4% | 39.5 pts (1,215 votes) | 3,075 | -6.6 pts | 25.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 7,827 | 37.3% of population |
| 2004 | 7,630 | 45.3% of population |
| 2008 | 7,430 | 43.9% of population |
| 2012 | 7,256 | 36.9% of population |
| 2016 | 7,272 | 40.5% of population |
| 2020 | 6,740 | 49.9% of population |
| 2024 | 6,739 | 45.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Refugio shifted 20.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Refugio has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Refugio voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Refugio has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Refugio?
Refugio's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 14.6 points (473 votes) out of 3,261 total votes cast.
Has Refugio ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Refugio has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Refugio?
The widest margin on record for Refugio was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 39.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Refugio relative to its population?
In 2024, 3,075 votes were recorded in Refugio against a total population of 6,739 (45.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Refugio a presidential bellwether county?
Refugio has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).