Nueces, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Nueces, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 2.3 pts more Dem. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 49,906 | 51.3% | 4.7 pts (4,557 votes) | 97,326 | — | 17.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 59,359 | 56.8% | 14.3 pts (14,920 votes) | 104,560 | -9.6 pts | 8.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 52,391 | 51.8% | 4.4 pts (4,479 votes) | 101,230 | +9.9 pts | 7.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 48,966 | 51.0% | 3.3 pts (3,194 votes) | 96,104 | +1.1 pts | 12.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 50,766 | 48.6% | 1.5 pts (1,568 votes) | 104,405 | +1.8 pts | 7.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 64,617 | 50.8% | 2.9 pts (3,692 votes) | 127,322 | -1.4 pts | 2.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 67,201 | 55.2% | 11.5 pts (13,953 votes) | 121,678 | -8.6 pts | 2.3 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 313,673 | 31.0% of population |
| 2004 | 321,879 | 32.5% of population |
| 2008 | 333,526 | 30.4% of population |
| 2012 | 347,939 | 27.6% of population |
| 2016 | 361,642 | 28.9% of population |
| 2020 | 353,600 | 36.0% of population |
| 2024 | 353,125 | 34.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Nueces shifted 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Nueces has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Nueces voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Nueces has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Nueces?
Nueces's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 1.6 points (1,568 votes) out of 104,405 total votes cast.
Has Nueces ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Nueces has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Nueces?
The widest margin on record for Nueces was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 14.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Nueces relative to its population?
In 2024, 121,678 votes were recorded in Nueces against a total population of 353,125 (34.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Nueces a presidential bellwether county?
Nueces has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).