Nolan, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Nolan, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 45.9 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,337 | 62.8% | 27.5 pts (1,463 votes) | 5,312 | — | 6.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,722 | 70.4% | 41.2 pts (2,181 votes) | 5,289 | -13.4 pts | 18.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 3,485 | 68.8% | 38.8 pts (1,964 votes) | 5,063 | +2.2 pts | 27.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,282 | 71.7% | 45.2 pts (2,066 votes) | 4,575 | -6.7 pts | 29.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,552 | 73.1% | 51.9 pts (2,523 votes) | 4,857 | -9.1 pts | 45.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,131 | 77.1% | 55.4 pts (2,969 votes) | 5,357 | -1.0 pts | 50.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,048 | 79.1% | 59.2 pts (3,028 votes) | 5,115 | -3.7 pts | 45.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 15,947 | 33.3% of population |
| 2004 | 15,013 | 35.2% of population |
| 2008 | 15,093 | 33.5% of population |
| 2012 | 14,932 | 30.6% of population |
| 2016 | 15,044 | 32.3% of population |
| 2020 | 14,729 | 36.4% of population |
| 2024 | 14,182 | 36.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Nolan shifted 31.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Nolan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Nolan voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Nolan has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Nolan?
Nolan's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 28.1 points (1,463 votes) out of 5,312 total votes cast.
Has Nolan ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Nolan has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Nolan?
The widest margin on record for Nolan was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 59.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Nolan relative to its population?
In 2024, 5,115 votes were recorded in Nolan against a total population of 14,182 (36.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Nolan a presidential bellwether county?
Nolan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).