Newton, Texas — Presidential Election Results

Newton, Texas has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 52.9 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Texas
2000 Al Gore Democratic 2,503 50.2% 1.6 pts (80 votes) 4,990 — 23.5 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 3,159 55.4% 11.3 pts (646 votes) 5,700 -13.0 pts 11.6 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 3,446 65.5% 32.2 pts (1,695 votes) 5,260 -21.2 pts 20.7 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 4,112 70.1% 41.5 pts (2,435 votes) 5,869 -9.4 pts 26.0 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 4,288 77.5% 56.6 pts (3,132 votes) 5,534 -15.5 pts 48.1 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 4,882 80.1% 60.9 pts (3,709 votes) 6,094 -3.7 pts 55.6 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 4,781 83.2% 66.6 pts (3,829 votes) 5,749 -5.5 pts 52.9 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 15,038 33.2% of population
2004 14,560 39.1% of population
2008 14,393 36.5% of population
2012 14,434 40.7% of population
2016 14,160 39.1% of population
2020 12,159 50.1% of population
2024 11,908 48.3% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Newton shifted 68.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+1.6 pts 2004: R+11.4 pts 2008: R+32.6 pts 2012: R+42.1 pts 2016: R+57.5 pts 2020: R+61.3 pts 2024: R+66.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Newton has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Texas Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Newton voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Newton has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Newton?

Newton's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 1.6 points (80 votes) out of 4,990 total votes cast.

Has Newton ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Newton changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Newton?

The widest margin on record for Newton was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 66.8 points.

How many votes were cast in Newton relative to its population?

In 2024, 5,749 votes were recorded in Newton against a total population of 11,908 (48.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Newton a presidential bellwether county?

Newton has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).