Medina, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Medina, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 29.2 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 8,590 | 66.7% | 35.5 pts (4,565 votes) | 12,873 | — | 14.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,389 | 70.1% | 40.9 pts (6,067 votes) | 14,826 | -5.1 pts | 18.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 10,480 | 66.6% | 33.9 pts (5,333 votes) | 15,737 | +7.1 pts | 22.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 11,079 | 69.0% | 39.2 pts (6,295 votes) | 16,049 | -5.6 pts | 23.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 12,085 | 70.1% | 43.2 pts (7,451 votes) | 17,246 | -4.9 pts | 35.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 15,642 | 69.0% | 39.1 pts (8,869 votes) | 22,657 | +5.0 pts | 33.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 17,464 | 70.9% | 42.7 pts (10,514 votes) | 24,617 | -3.5 pts | 29.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 39,484 | 32.6% of population |
| 2004 | 42,363 | 35.0% of population |
| 2008 | 45,131 | 34.9% of population |
| 2012 | 46,796 | 34.3% of population |
| 2016 | 49,254 | 35.0% of population |
| 2020 | 51,063 | 44.4% of population |
| 2024 | 55,619 | 44.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Medina shifted 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Medina has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Medina voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Medina has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Medina?
Medina's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 34.1 points (5,333 votes) out of 15,737 total votes cast.
Has Medina ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Medina has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Medina?
The widest margin on record for Medina was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 44.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Medina relative to its population?
In 2024, 24,617 votes were recorded in Medina against a total population of 55,619 (44.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Medina a presidential bellwether county?
Medina has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).