Kenedy, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Kenedy, Texas has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2020. In 2024, it was 33.6 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 119 | 52.2% | 5.7 pts (13 votes) | 228 | — | 27.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 85 | 50.3% | 1.8 pts (3 votes) | 169 | -4.0 pts | 24.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 108 | 53.5% | 6.9 pts (14 votes) | 202 | +5.1 pts | 18.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 84 | 50.3% | 1.2 pts (2 votes) | 167 | -8.1 pts | 14.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 99 | 53.2% | 8.1 pts (15 votes) | 186 | +9.4 pts | 17.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 127 | 65.5% | 32.0 pts (62 votes) | 194 | -40.5 pts | 26.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 115 | 72.8% | 46.8 pts (74 votes) | 158 | -15.1 pts | 33.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 420 | 54.3% of population |
| 2004 | 440 | 38.4% of population |
| 2008 | 410 | 49.3% of population |
| 2012 | 447 | 37.4% of population |
| 2016 | 436 | 42.7% of population |
| 2020 | 350 | 55.4% of population |
| 2024 | 330 | 47.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Kenedy shifted 53.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Kenedy has matched the national popular winner in 2 of the last 7 presidential elections (29%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Kenedy voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Kenedy has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Kenedy?
Kenedy's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 1.2 points (2 votes) out of 167 total votes cast.
Has Kenedy ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Kenedy changed which party won the county in: 2012, 2016, 2020, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Kenedy?
The widest margin on record for Kenedy was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 47.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Kenedy relative to its population?
In 2024, 158 votes were recorded in Kenedy against a total population of 330 (47.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Kenedy a presidential bellwether county?
Kenedy has matched the national popular winner in 2 of the last 7 presidential elections (29%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).