Karnes, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Karnes, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 44.5 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,638 | 61.2% | 23.7 pts (1,021 votes) | 4,308 | — | 2.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,114 | 66.6% | 33.6 pts (1,571 votes) | 4,673 | -9.7 pts | 10.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,736 | 60.4% | 21.6 pts (976 votes) | 4,527 | +12.0 pts | 9.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,825 | 67.5% | 35.8 pts (1,500 votes) | 4,185 | -14.4 pts | 20.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,965 | 70.6% | 43.4 pts (1,820 votes) | 4,198 | -8.1 pts | 34.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,968 | 75.6% | 52.1 pts (2,734 votes) | 5,252 | -8.3 pts | 46.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,001 | 78.8% | 58.1 pts (2,950 votes) | 5,075 | -5.8 pts | 44.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 15,403 | 28.0% of population |
| 2004 | 15,109 | 30.9% of population |
| 2008 | 14,867 | 30.4% of population |
| 2012 | 14,859 | 28.2% of population |
| 2016 | 15,494 | 27.1% of population |
| 2020 | 14,811 | 35.5% of population |
| 2024 | 15,137 | 33.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Karnes shifted 34.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Karnes has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Karnes voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Karnes has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Karnes?
Karnes's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 21.7 points (976 votes) out of 4,527 total votes cast.
Has Karnes ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Karnes has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Karnes?
The widest margin on record for Karnes was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 58.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Karnes relative to its population?
In 2024, 5,075 votes were recorded in Karnes against a total population of 15,137 (33.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Karnes a presidential bellwether county?
Karnes has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).