Jasper, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Jasper, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 53.0 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,071 | 60.2% | 21.6 pts (2,538 votes) | 11,742 | — | 0.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 8,347 | 64.8% | 30.1 pts (3,876 votes) | 12,873 | -8.4 pts | 7.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 9,022 | 70.6% | 42.0 pts (5,364 votes) | 12,776 | -12.1 pts | 30.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 9,957 | 73.7% | 48.3 pts (6,534 votes) | 13,517 | -6.5 pts | 32.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 10,609 | 79.1% | 59.8 pts (8,019 votes) | 13,419 | -11.9 pts | 51.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,542 | 80.3% | 61.4 pts (9,588 votes) | 15,611 | -1.1 pts | 56.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,162 | 83.1% | 66.6 pts (10,547 votes) | 15,841 | -5.0 pts | 53.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 35,552 | 33.0% of population |
| 2004 | 35,493 | 36.3% of population |
| 2008 | 35,170 | 36.3% of population |
| 2012 | 35,854 | 37.7% of population |
| 2016 | 35,417 | 37.9% of population |
| 2020 | 32,923 | 47.4% of population |
| 2024 | 32,907 | 48.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Jasper shifted 45.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Jasper has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Jasper voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Jasper has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Jasper?
Jasper's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 21.9 points (2,538 votes) out of 11,742 total votes cast.
Has Jasper ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Jasper has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Jasper?
The widest margin on record for Jasper was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 66.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Jasper relative to its population?
In 2024, 15,841 votes were recorded in Jasper against a total population of 32,907 (48.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Jasper a presidential bellwether county?
Jasper has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).