Hardeman, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Hardeman, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 59.2 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 976 | 62.7% | 26.3 pts (410 votes) | 1,557 | — | 4.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,214 | 71.3% | 43.1 pts (734 votes) | 1,702 | -16.7 pts | 20.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,199 | 75.2% | 51.8 pts (826 votes) | 1,595 | -9.2 pts | 40.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,176 | 78.7% | 58.5 pts (874 votes) | 1,495 | -6.6 pts | 43.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,207 | 79.8% | 63.3 pts (958 votes) | 1,513 | -6.7 pts | 56.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,330 | 84.2% | 68.9 pts (1,089 votes) | 1,580 | -3.5 pts | 63.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,210 | 86.1% | 72.7 pts (1,022 votes) | 1,405 | -3.8 pts | 59.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 4,718 | 33.0% of population |
| 2004 | 4,474 | 38.0% of population |
| 2008 | 4,187 | 38.1% of population |
| 2012 | 4,097 | 36.5% of population |
| 2016 | 3,982 | 38.0% of population |
| 2020 | 3,561 | 44.4% of population |
| 2024 | 3,417 | 41.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hardeman shifted 46.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hardeman has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hardeman voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hardeman has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hardeman?
Hardeman's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 26.6 points (410 votes) out of 1,557 total votes cast.
Has Hardeman ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Hardeman has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hardeman?
The widest margin on record for Hardeman was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 73.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Hardeman relative to its population?
In 2024, 1,405 votes were recorded in Hardeman against a total population of 3,417 (41.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hardeman a presidential bellwether county?
Hardeman has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).