Gaines, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Gaines, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 69.3 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,691 | 77.8% | 56.9 pts (1,968 votes) | 3,459 | — | 35.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,540 | 85.0% | 70.4 pts (2,932 votes) | 4,164 | -13.0 pts | 47.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 3,385 | 83.2% | 67.2 pts (2,735 votes) | 4,067 | +2.9 pts | 55.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,484 | 85.7% | 72.5 pts (2,949 votes) | 4,066 | -5.6 pts | 57.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,907 | 84.6% | 71.6 pts (3,310 votes) | 4,620 | -0.1 pts | 64.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,355 | 89.3% | 79.7 pts (4,779 votes) | 5,996 | -7.1 pts | 74.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,840 | 91.0% | 82.6 pts (5,302 votes) | 6,416 | -2.6 pts | 69.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 14,473 | 23.9% of population |
| 2004 | 14,978 | 27.8% of population |
| 2008 | 16,641 | 24.4% of population |
| 2012 | 18,307 | 22.2% of population |
| 2016 | 20,446 | 22.6% of population |
| 2020 | 21,704 | 27.6% of population |
| 2024 | 22,892 | 28.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Gaines shifted 25.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Gaines has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Gaines voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Gaines has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Gaines?
Gaines's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 57.6 points (1,968 votes) out of 3,459 total votes cast.
Has Gaines ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Gaines has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Gaines?
The widest margin on record for Gaines was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 83.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Gaines relative to its population?
In 2024, 6,416 votes were recorded in Gaines against a total population of 22,892 (28.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Gaines a presidential bellwether county?
Gaines has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).