Ellis, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Ellis, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 17.5 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 26,091 | 69.9% | 41.4 pts (15,462 votes) | 37,307 | — | 20.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 34,602 | 74.5% | 49.4 pts (22,962 votes) | 46,444 | -7.5 pts | 26.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 38,078 | 70.7% | 42.2 pts (22,745 votes) | 53,853 | +7.1 pts | 30.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 39,574 | 73.1% | 47.4 pts (25,693 votes) | 54,151 | -5.5 pts | 32.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 44,941 | 70.6% | 45.1 pts (28,688 votes) | 63,673 | +1.2 pts | 37.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 56,717 | 66.3% | 34.1 pts (29,152 votes) | 85,493 | +12.3 pts | 28.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 64,763 | 65.1% | 31.1 pts (30,913 votes) | 99,557 | +3.2 pts | 17.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 112,330 | 33.2% of population |
| 2004 | 125,733 | 36.9% of population |
| 2008 | 144,394 | 37.3% of population |
| 2012 | 153,739 | 35.2% of population |
| 2016 | 168,332 | 37.8% of population |
| 2020 | 194,328 | 44.0% of population |
| 2024 | 232,387 | 42.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Ellis shifted 10.8 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Ellis has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Ellis voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Ellis has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Ellis?
Ellis's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 31.3 points (30,913 votes) out of 99,557 total votes cast.
Has Ellis ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Ellis has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Ellis?
The widest margin on record for Ellis was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 49.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Ellis relative to its population?
In 2024, 99,557 votes were recorded in Ellis against a total population of 232,387 (42.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Ellis a presidential bellwether county?
Ellis has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).