Duval, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Duval, Texas has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 4.1 pts more Dem. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 3,990 | 79.3% | 59.2 pts (2,980 votes) | 5,030 | — | 81.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 2,916 | 71.3% | 42.9 pts (1,756 votes) | 4,091 | -16.5 pts | 66.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 3,298 | 74.8% | 50.4 pts (2,222 votes) | 4,409 | +7.7 pts | 62.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 3,331 | 76.7% | 54.1 pts (2,351 votes) | 4,344 | +3.7 pts | 70.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 2,783 | 66.8% | 35.2 pts (1,467 votes) | 4,168 | -18.7 pts | 45.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 2,575 | 51.0% | 2.6 pts (132 votes) | 5,053 | -33.2 pts | 8.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,439 | 54.7% | 9.8 pts (436 votes) | 4,461 | -12.4 pts | 4.1 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 13,007 | 38.7% of population |
| 2004 | 12,539 | 32.6% of population |
| 2008 | 11,945 | 36.9% of population |
| 2012 | 11,582 | 37.5% of population |
| 2016 | 11,431 | 36.5% of population |
| 2020 | 9,810 | 51.5% of population |
| 2024 | 9,585 | 46.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Duval shifted 69.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Duval has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Duval voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Duval has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Duval?
Duval's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 2.6 points (132 votes) out of 5,053 total votes cast.
Has Duval ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Duval changed which party won the county in: 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Duval?
The widest margin on record for Duval was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 59.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Duval relative to its population?
In 2024, 4,461 votes were recorded in Duval against a total population of 9,585 (46.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Duval a presidential bellwether county?
Duval has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).