Collin, Texas — Presidential Election Results

Collin, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 2.4 pts more Dem. than Texas overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Texas
2000 George W. Bush Republican 128,179 73.1% 48.6 pts (85,295 votes) 175,420 — 27.9 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 174,435 71.2% 43.0 pts (105,500 votes) 245,154 +6.5 pts 20.3 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 184,897 62.3% 25.6 pts (75,850 votes) 296,583 +17.5 pts 13.9 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 196,888 65.0% 31.5 pts (95,473 votes) 302,821 -6.2 pts 16.0 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 201,014 55.6% 16.7 pts (60,390 votes) 361,419 +14.3 pts 8.3 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 252,318 51.4% 4.4 pts (21,373 votes) 490,856 +13.3 pts 1.2 pts more Dem.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 279,534 54.2% 11.1 pts (57,419 votes) 515,585 -7.0 pts 2.4 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 499,118 35.1% of population
2004 617,802 39.7% of population
2008 741,264 40.0% of population
2012 835,230 36.3% of population
2016 943,742 38.3% of population
2020 1,075,651 45.6% of population
2024 1,254,658 41.1% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Collin shifted 38.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+49.9 pts 2004: R+43.3 pts 2008: R+25.8 pts 2012: R+32.0 pts 2016: R+17.7 pts 2020: R+4.4 pts 2024: R+11.4 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Collin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Texas Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Collin voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Collin has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Collin?

Collin's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 4.4 points (21,373 votes) out of 490,856 total votes cast.

Has Collin ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Collin has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Collin?

The widest margin on record for Collin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 49.9 points.

How many votes were cast in Collin relative to its population?

In 2024, 515,585 votes were recorded in Collin against a total population of 1,254,658 (41.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Collin a presidential bellwether county?

Collin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).