Carson, Texas — Presidential Election Results

Carson, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 67.7 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Texas
2000 George W. Bush Republican 2,216 80.8% 63.3 pts (1,736 votes) 2,742 — 42.5 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 2,450 83.2% 66.7 pts (1,965 votes) 2,944 -2.6 pts 43.9 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 2,548 85.5% 71.9 pts (2,142 votes) 2,980 -5.6 pts 60.6 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 2,451 88.2% 77.7 pts (2,159 votes) 2,778 -6.2 pts 62.7 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 2,620 88.4% 80.0 pts (2,371 votes) 2,964 -3.9 pts 73.2 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 2,779 89.0% 79.5 pts (2,482 votes) 3,122 +2.0 pts 75.0 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 2,866 90.2% 81.1 pts (2,576 votes) 3,177 -0.9 pts 67.7 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 6,492 42.2% of population
2004 6,381 46.1% of population
2008 6,260 47.6% of population
2012 6,089 45.6% of population
2016 6,096 48.6% of population
2020 5,794 53.9% of population
2024 5,822 54.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Carson shifted 17.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+64.4 pts 2004: R+67.0 pts 2008: R+72.5 pts 2012: R+78.7 pts 2016: R+82.6 pts 2020: R+80.7 pts 2024: R+81.6 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Carson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Texas Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Carson voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Carson has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Carson?

Carson's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 64.4 points (1,736 votes) out of 2,742 total votes cast.

Has Carson ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Carson has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Carson?

The widest margin on record for Carson was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 82.6 points.

How many votes were cast in Carson relative to its population?

In 2024, 3,177 votes were recorded in Carson against a total population of 5,822 (54.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Carson a presidential bellwether county?

Carson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).