Caldwell, Texas — Presidential Election Results
Caldwell, Texas has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 0.7 pts more Rep. than Texas overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Texas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,216 | 55.3% | 14.3 pts (1,344 votes) | 9,425 | — | 7.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,436 | 55.5% | 11.9 pts (1,384 votes) | 11,587 | +2.7 pts | 11.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 6,107 | 52.4% | 6.0 pts (704 votes) | 11,648 | +5.9 pts | 5.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 6,021 | 54.4% | 11.1 pts (1,230 votes) | 11,068 | -5.3 pts | 4.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 6,691 | 55.3% | 15.7 pts (1,896 votes) | 12,092 | -5.1 pts | 7.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 8,031 | 53.6% | 9.1 pts (1,359 votes) | 14,973 | +7.3 pts | 3.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 8,880 | 56.6% | 14.4 pts (2,262 votes) | 15,693 | -5.4 pts | 0.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 32,378 | 29.1% of population |
| 2004 | 36,200 | 32.0% of population |
| 2008 | 37,671 | 30.9% of population |
| 2012 | 38,682 | 28.6% of population |
| 2016 | 41,147 | 29.4% of population |
| 2020 | 45,948 | 32.6% of population |
| 2024 | 52,430 | 29.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Caldwell shifted 0.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Caldwell has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Texas Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Caldwell voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Caldwell has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Caldwell?
Caldwell's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 6.1 points (704 votes) out of 11,648 total votes cast.
Has Caldwell ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Caldwell has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Caldwell?
The widest margin on record for Caldwell was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 16.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Caldwell relative to its population?
In 2024, 15,693 votes were recorded in Caldwell against a total population of 52,430 (29.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Caldwell a presidential bellwether county?
Caldwell has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Texas's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).