Sullivan, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
Sullivan, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 47.9 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,877 | 61.3% | 24.5 pts (750 votes) | 3,064 | — | 21.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,880 | 60.9% | 22.7 pts (702 votes) | 3,089 | +2.0 pts | 15.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,607 | 56.0% | 15.1 pts (434 votes) | 2,869 | +7.3 pts | 15.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,610 | 62.0% | 27.1 pts (702 votes) | 2,595 | -12.3 pts | 18.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,884 | 75.8% | 54.6 pts (1,358 votes) | 2,486 | -28.5 pts | 36.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,974 | 79.9% | 60.5 pts (1,496 votes) | 2,471 | -4.7 pts | 45.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,035 | 82.6% | 66.1 pts (1,627 votes) | 2,463 | -5.6 pts | 47.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 7,227 | 42.4% of population |
| 2004 | 6,925 | 44.6% of population |
| 2008 | 6,736 | 42.6% of population |
| 2012 | 6,556 | 39.6% of population |
| 2016 | 6,333 | 39.3% of population |
| 2020 | 5,976 | 41.3% of population |
| 2024 | 5,750 | 42.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Sullivan shifted 41.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Sullivan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Sullivan voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Sullivan has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Sullivan?
Sullivan's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 15.6 points (434 votes) out of 2,869 total votes cast.
Has Sullivan ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Sullivan has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Sullivan?
The widest margin on record for Sullivan was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 66.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Sullivan relative to its population?
In 2024, 2,463 votes were recorded in Sullivan against a total population of 5,750 (42.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Sullivan a presidential bellwether county?
Sullivan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).