Buchanan, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
Buchanan, Missouri has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 9.8 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 17,085 | 49.2% | 1.9 pts (662 votes) | 34,751 | — | 5.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 19,812 | 52.2% | 5.3 pts (2,013 votes) | 37,950 | -7.3 pts | 1.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 19,164 | 49.1% | 0.1 pts (54 votes) | 39,040 | +5.5 pts | 0.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 18,660 | 53.2% | 8.7 pts (3,066 votes) | 35,106 | -9.1 pts | 0.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 21,320 | 59.8% | 26.1 pts (9,307 votes) | 35,659 | -19.0 pts | 8.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 22,450 | 61.3% | 24.6 pts (9,005 votes) | 36,598 | +2.8 pts | 9.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 22,606 | 63.2% | 28.0 pts (10,008 votes) | 35,743 | -3.3 pts | 9.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 86,192 | 40.3% of population |
| 2004 | 86,039 | 44.1% of population |
| 2008 | 88,317 | 44.2% of population |
| 2012 | 89,930 | 39.0% of population |
| 2016 | 89,032 | 40.1% of population |
| 2020 | 84,472 | 43.3% of population |
| 2024 | 83,574 | 42.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Buchanan shifted 30.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Buchanan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Buchanan voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Buchanan has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Buchanan?
Buchanan's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 0.1 points (54 votes) out of 39,040 total votes cast.
Has Buchanan ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Buchanan changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Buchanan?
The widest margin on record for Buchanan was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 28.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Buchanan relative to its population?
In 2024, 35,743 votes were recorded in Buchanan against a total population of 83,574 (42.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Buchanan a presidential bellwether county?
Buchanan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).