St. Francois, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
St. Francois, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 33.2 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,327 | 49.5% | 1.3 pts (252 votes) | 18,841 | — | 2.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,087 | 52.7% | 5.8 pts (1,339 votes) | 22,933 | -4.5 pts | 1.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 12,660 | 51.6% | 4.6 pts (1,120 votes) | 24,550 | +1.2 pts | 4.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 13,248 | 58.7% | 19.6 pts (4,419 votes) | 22,582 | -15.4 pts | 10.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 17,468 | 70.6% | 45.4 pts (11,218 votes) | 24,728 | -27.3 pts | 27.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 20,511 | 73.3% | 48.1 pts (13,467 votes) | 28,001 | -1.6 pts | 33.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 21,521 | 75.2% | 51.4 pts (14,710 votes) | 28,615 | -3.0 pts | 33.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 55,773 | 33.8% of population |
| 2004 | 60,829 | 37.7% of population |
| 2008 | 64,280 | 38.2% of population |
| 2012 | 65,803 | 34.3% of population |
| 2016 | 66,356 | 37.3% of population |
| 2020 | 66,446 | 42.1% of population |
| 2024 | 67,503 | 42.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in St. Francois shifted 50.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
St. Francois has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has St. Francois voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, St. Francois has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in St. Francois?
St. Francois's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 1.4 points (252 votes) out of 18,841 total votes cast.
Has St. Francois ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- St. Francois has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in St. Francois?
The widest margin on record for St. Francois was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 51.9 points.
How many votes were cast in St. Francois relative to its population?
In 2024, 28,615 votes were recorded in St. Francois against a total population of 67,503 (42.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is St. Francois a presidential bellwether county?
St. Francois has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).