St. Clair, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
St. Clair, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 42.5 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,731 | 57.6% | 18.3 pts (865 votes) | 4,739 | — | 15.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,098 | 62.4% | 25.3 pts (1,257 votes) | 4,965 | -6.6 pts | 18.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,981 | 59.8% | 22.0 pts (1,095 votes) | 4,988 | +3.0 pts | 22.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,019 | 65.3% | 33.7 pts (1,559 votes) | 4,626 | -12.3 pts | 25.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,501 | 75.6% | 55.4 pts (2,565 votes) | 4,630 | -23.0 pts | 38.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,932 | 79.1% | 59.2 pts (2,944 votes) | 4,974 | -2.0 pts | 44.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,982 | 79.8% | 60.6 pts (3,023 votes) | 4,990 | -1.3 pts | 42.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 9,698 | 48.9% of population |
| 2004 | 9,711 | 51.1% of population |
| 2008 | 9,757 | 51.1% of population |
| 2012 | 9,527 | 48.6% of population |
| 2016 | 9,288 | 49.8% of population |
| 2020 | 9,346 | 53.2% of population |
| 2024 | 9,848 | 50.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in St. Clair shifted 42.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
St. Clair has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has St. Clair voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, St. Clair has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in St. Clair?
St. Clair's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 18.8 points (865 votes) out of 4,739 total votes cast.
Has St. Clair ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- St. Clair has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in St. Clair?
The widest margin on record for St. Clair was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 61.2 points.
How many votes were cast in St. Clair relative to its population?
In 2024, 4,990 votes were recorded in St. Clair against a total population of 9,848 (50.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is St. Clair a presidential bellwether county?
St. Clair has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).