Saline, Missouri — Presidential Election Results

Saline, Missouri has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 22.2 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Missouri
2000 Al Gore Democratic 4,585 49.0% 0.1 pts (13 votes) 9,355 — 3.6 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 5,389 54.2% 9.2 pts (910 votes) 9,939 -9.4 pts 2.0 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 4,962 50.4% 2.5 pts (250 votes) 9,848 +6.6 pts 2.4 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 5,104 56.0% 14.4 pts (1,314 votes) 9,108 -12.2 pts 5.2 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 5,977 64.4% 34.4 pts (3,188 votes) 9,274 -21.6 pts 16.7 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 6,451 67.8% 37.3 pts (3,547 votes) 9,519 -1.5 pts 22.2 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 6,498 69.6% 40.4 pts (3,772 votes) 9,330 -3.0 pts 22.2 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 23,747 39.4% of population
2004 23,058 43.1% of population
2008 22,967 42.9% of population
2012 23,544 38.7% of population
2016 23,095 40.2% of population
2020 23,339 40.8% of population
2024 23,325 40.0% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Saline shifted 41.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+0.1 pts 2004: R+9.2 pts 2008: R+2.6 pts 2012: R+14.8 pts 2016: R+36.4 pts 2020: R+37.9 pts 2024: R+40.9 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Saline has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Missouri Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Saline voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Saline has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Saline?

Saline's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 0.1 points (13 votes) out of 9,355 total votes cast.

Has Saline ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Saline changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Saline?

The widest margin on record for Saline was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 40.9 points.

How many votes were cast in Saline relative to its population?

In 2024, 9,330 votes were recorded in Saline against a total population of 23,325 (40.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Saline a presidential bellwether county?

Saline has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).