Phelps, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
Phelps, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 24.8 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,444 | 58.5% | 19.7 pts (3,182 votes) | 16,146 | — | 16.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 11,874 | 63.5% | 27.9 pts (5,208 votes) | 18,700 | -7.8 pts | 20.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 11,706 | 60.2% | 22.2 pts (4,312 votes) | 19,438 | +5.5 pts | 22.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 11,895 | 65.4% | 33.5 pts (6,097 votes) | 18,190 | -11.9 pts | 24.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 12,709 | 68.5% | 42.8 pts (7,943 votes) | 18,553 | -11.0 pts | 25.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,480 | 68.9% | 40.1 pts (7,843 votes) | 19,568 | +4.4 pts | 25.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,658 | 70.8% | 42.9 pts (8,279 votes) | 19,300 | -2.5 pts | 24.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 39,945 | 40.4% of population |
| 2004 | 42,616 | 43.9% of population |
| 2008 | 44,200 | 44.0% of population |
| 2012 | 45,230 | 40.2% of population |
| 2016 | 44,708 | 41.5% of population |
| 2020 | 44,568 | 43.9% of population |
| 2024 | 45,672 | 42.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Phelps shifted 23.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Phelps has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Phelps voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Phelps has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Phelps?
Phelps's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 20.3 points (3,182 votes) out of 16,146 total votes cast.
Has Phelps ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Phelps has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Phelps?
The widest margin on record for Phelps was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 45.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Phelps relative to its population?
In 2024, 19,300 votes were recorded in Phelps against a total population of 45,672 (42.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Phelps a presidential bellwether county?
Phelps has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).