Newton, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
Newton, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 40.6 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,232 | 67.3% | 36.8 pts (7,785 votes) | 21,162 | — | 34.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 17,187 | 71.9% | 44.5 pts (10,623 votes) | 23,889 | -7.1 pts | 37.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 17,637 | 69.4% | 40.1 pts (10,187 votes) | 25,406 | +4.1 pts | 40.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 18,181 | 72.5% | 46.9 pts (11,756 votes) | 25,083 | -7.2 pts | 38.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 20,553 | 77.2% | 58.5 pts (15,563 votes) | 26,606 | -13.2 pts | 41.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 22,120 | 77.9% | 57.4 pts (16,302 votes) | 28,405 | +2.6 pts | 42.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 22,923 | 78.8% | 58.6 pts (17,056 votes) | 29,097 | -0.9 pts | 40.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 52,699 | 40.2% of population |
| 2004 | 55,100 | 43.4% of population |
| 2008 | 57,600 | 44.1% of population |
| 2012 | 58,637 | 42.8% of population |
| 2016 | 58,178 | 45.7% of population |
| 2020 | 58,699 | 48.4% of population |
| 2024 | 61,519 | 47.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Newton shifted 21.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Newton has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Newton voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Newton has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Newton?
Newton's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 37.6 points (7,785 votes) out of 21,162 total votes cast.
Has Newton ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Newton has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Newton?
The widest margin on record for Newton was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 60.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Newton relative to its population?
In 2024, 29,097 votes were recorded in Newton against a total population of 61,519 (47.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Newton a presidential bellwether county?
Newton has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).