New Madrid, Missouri — Presidential Election Results

New Madrid, Missouri has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 35.2 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Missouri
2000 Al Gore Democratic 3,738 51.4% 4.4 pts (322 votes) 7,266 — 7.9 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 4,154 52.5% 5.5 pts (438 votes) 7,907 -10.1 pts 1.7 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 4,593 56.8% 15.1 pts (1,223 votes) 8,092 -9.8 pts 15.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 4,284 59.1% 20.3 pts (1,470 votes) 7,250 -5.4 pts 11.2 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 5,270 71.6% 45.4 pts (3,337 votes) 7,357 -25.6 pts 26.7 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 5,447 75.1% 51.0 pts (3,699 votes) 7,250 -5.1 pts 35.7 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 5,203 76.4% 53.5 pts (3,642 votes) 6,811 -2.4 pts 35.2 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 19,657 37.0% of population
2004 19,235 41.1% of population
2008 18,805 43.0% of population
2012 18,471 39.3% of population
2016 17,839 41.2% of population
2020 16,329 44.4% of population
2024 15,212 44.8% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in New Madrid shifted 58.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+4.5 pts 2004: R+5.6 pts 2008: R+15.4 pts 2012: R+20.7 pts 2016: R+46.3 pts 2020: R+51.4 pts 2024: R+53.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

New Madrid has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Missouri Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has New Madrid voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, New Madrid has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in New Madrid?

New Madrid's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 4.5 points (322 votes) out of 7,266 total votes cast.

Has New Madrid ever flipped between parties?

Yes. New Madrid changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in New Madrid?

The widest margin on record for New Madrid was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 53.8 points.

How many votes were cast in New Madrid relative to its population?

In 2024, 6,811 votes were recorded in New Madrid against a total population of 15,212 (44.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is New Madrid a presidential bellwether county?

New Madrid has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).