McDonald, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
McDonald, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 50.6 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,460 | 68.3% | 39.7 pts (2,594 votes) | 6,529 | — | 37.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,443 | 70.5% | 41.8 pts (3,228 votes) | 7,725 | -1.1 pts | 34.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,499 | 67.6% | 37.4 pts (3,045 votes) | 8,135 | +3.9 pts | 38.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 5,694 | 72.8% | 48.3 pts (3,774 votes) | 7,817 | -11.3 pts | 40.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 6,599 | 80.1% | 63.9 pts (5,270 votes) | 8,242 | -16.9 pts | 46.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,465 | 82.5% | 66.6 pts (6,026 votes) | 9,053 | -1.2 pts | 52.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,843 | 84.0% | 68.8 pts (6,420 votes) | 9,338 | -1.6 pts | 50.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 21,665 | 30.1% of population |
| 2004 | 22,410 | 34.5% of population |
| 2008 | 22,943 | 35.5% of population |
| 2012 | 22,966 | 34.0% of population |
| 2016 | 22,705 | 36.3% of population |
| 2020 | 23,278 | 38.9% of population |
| 2024 | 24,054 | 38.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in McDonald shifted 28.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
McDonald has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has McDonald voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, McDonald has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in McDonald?
McDonald's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 38.3 points (3,045 votes) out of 8,135 total votes cast.
Has McDonald ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- McDonald has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in McDonald?
The widest margin on record for McDonald was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 69.3 points.
How many votes were cast in McDonald relative to its population?
In 2024, 9,338 votes were recorded in McDonald against a total population of 24,054 (38.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is McDonald a presidential bellwether county?
McDonald has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).