Lafayette, Missouri — Presidential Election Results

Lafayette, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 30.8 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Missouri
2000 George W. Bush Republican 7,849 54.1% 10.4 pts (1,506 votes) 14,520 — 7.2 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 9,656 59.7% 20.0 pts (3,244 votes) 16,182 -9.6 pts 12.9 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 9,442 56.9% 15.3 pts (2,540 votes) 16,600 +4.6 pts 15.4 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 9,803 62.1% 26.3 pts (4,148 votes) 15,795 -11.3 pts 17.3 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 10,988 69.2% 43.7 pts (6,935 votes) 15,876 -19.3 pts 26.5 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 12,273 72.0% 45.7 pts (7,801 votes) 17,055 -0.5 pts 30.9 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 12,720 73.7% 48.9 pts (8,426 votes) 17,248 -2.9 pts 30.8 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 33,000 44.0% of population
2004 33,110 48.9% of population
2008 33,434 49.7% of population
2012 33,054 47.8% of population
2016 32,534 48.8% of population
2020 33,050 51.6% of population
2024 33,511 51.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Lafayette shifted 38.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+10.6 pts 2004: R+20.2 pts 2008: R+15.5 pts 2012: R+26.8 pts 2016: R+46.1 pts 2020: R+46.6 pts 2024: R+49.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Lafayette has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Missouri Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Lafayette voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Lafayette has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Lafayette?

Lafayette's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 10.6 points (1,506 votes) out of 14,520 total votes cast.

Has Lafayette ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Lafayette has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Lafayette?

The widest margin on record for Lafayette was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 49.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Lafayette relative to its population?

In 2024, 17,248 votes were recorded in Lafayette against a total population of 33,511 (51.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Lafayette a presidential bellwether county?

Lafayette has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).