Jasper, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
Jasper, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 28.7 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 24,899 | 66.4% | 35.1 pts (13,162 votes) | 37,481 | — | 32.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 31,846 | 70.6% | 41.8 pts (18,844 votes) | 45,085 | -6.1 pts | 34.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 31,667 | 65.9% | 33.2 pts (15,937 votes) | 48,025 | +8.4 pts | 33.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 31,349 | 69.3% | 41.0 pts (18,540 votes) | 45,218 | -8.4 pts | 32.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 35,070 | 72.6% | 50.7 pts (24,498 votes) | 48,326 | -11.7 pts | 34.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 37,728 | 72.1% | 46.2 pts (24,179 votes) | 52,352 | +6.5 pts | 31.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 39,084 | 72.6% | 46.7 pts (25,141 votes) | 53,807 | -0.3 pts | 28.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 104,966 | 35.7% of population |
| 2004 | 108,897 | 41.4% of population |
| 2008 | 115,144 | 41.7% of population |
| 2012 | 115,770 | 39.1% of population |
| 2016 | 119,219 | 40.5% of population |
| 2020 | 122,896 | 42.6% of population |
| 2024 | 126,479 | 42.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Jasper shifted 11.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Jasper has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Jasper voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Jasper has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Jasper?
Jasper's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 33.6 points (15,937 votes) out of 48,025 total votes cast.
Has Jasper ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Jasper has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Jasper?
The widest margin on record for Jasper was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 53.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Jasper relative to its population?
In 2024, 53,807 votes were recorded in Jasper against a total population of 126,479 (42.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Jasper a presidential bellwether county?
Jasper has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).