Hickory, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
Hickory, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 42.9 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,172 | 51.3% | 5.0 pts (211 votes) | 4,238 | — | 1.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,791 | 57.4% | 15.4 pts (748 votes) | 4,866 | -10.4 pts | 8.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,850 | 55.7% | 13.3 pts (679 votes) | 5,115 | +2.0 pts | 13.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,835 | 60.6% | 23.5 pts (1,102 votes) | 4,680 | -10.6 pts | 14.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,542 | 75.0% | 53.5 pts (2,526 votes) | 4,724 | -31.3 pts | 35.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,966 | 78.1% | 57.3 pts (2,910 votes) | 5,080 | -2.5 pts | 42.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,108 | 80.2% | 61.1 pts (3,130 votes) | 5,120 | -3.6 pts | 42.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 8,940 | 47.4% of population |
| 2004 | 9,316 | 52.2% of population |
| 2008 | 9,592 | 53.3% of population |
| 2012 | 9,443 | 49.6% of population |
| 2016 | 9,356 | 50.5% of population |
| 2020 | 8,298 | 61.2% of population |
| 2024 | 8,766 | 58.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hickory shifted 56.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hickory has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hickory voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hickory has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hickory?
Hickory's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 5.1 points (211 votes) out of 4,238 total votes cast.
Has Hickory ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Hickory has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hickory?
The widest margin on record for Hickory was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 61.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Hickory relative to its population?
In 2024, 5,120 votes were recorded in Hickory against a total population of 8,766 (58.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hickory a presidential bellwether county?
Hickory has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).