Grundy, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
Grundy, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 45.4 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,976 | 63.2% | 30.0 pts (1,413 votes) | 4,708 | — | 27.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,172 | 66.0% | 33.5 pts (1,611 votes) | 4,808 | -2.9 pts | 26.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 3,006 | 63.4% | 30.1 pts (1,426 votes) | 4,740 | +2.9 pts | 31.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 3,030 | 69.3% | 41.6 pts (1,818 votes) | 4,374 | -11.8 pts | 33.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,462 | 80.3% | 62.2 pts (2,682 votes) | 4,310 | -20.4 pts | 43.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,585 | 80.8% | 62.8 pts (2,786 votes) | 4,437 | -0.3 pts | 47.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,582 | 81.3% | 63.5 pts (2,798 votes) | 4,404 | -0.5 pts | 45.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 10,513 | 44.8% of population |
| 2004 | 10,209 | 47.1% of population |
| 2008 | 10,196 | 46.5% of population |
| 2012 | 10,331 | 42.3% of population |
| 2016 | 10,111 | 42.6% of population |
| 2020 | 9,757 | 45.5% of population |
| 2024 | 9,766 | 45.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Grundy shifted 33.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Grundy has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Grundy voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Grundy has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Grundy?
Grundy's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 31.1 points (1,426 votes) out of 4,740 total votes cast.
Has Grundy ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Grundy has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Grundy?
The widest margin on record for Grundy was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 64.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Grundy relative to its population?
In 2024, 4,404 votes were recorded in Grundy against a total population of 9,766 (45.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Grundy a presidential bellwether county?
Grundy has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).