Dunklin, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
Dunklin, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 43.6 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,426 | 51.6% | 4.6 pts (479 votes) | 10,525 | — | 1.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,720 | 57.5% | 15.6 pts (1,819 votes) | 11,677 | -11.0 pts | 8.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 7,044 | 59.9% | 21.3 pts (2,504 votes) | 11,764 | -6.0 pts | 21.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 6,850 | 64.3% | 30.2 pts (3,214 votes) | 10,651 | -9.0 pts | 21.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 8,026 | 75.9% | 53.6 pts (5,666 votes) | 10,578 | -23.9 pts | 34.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 8,135 | 78.1% | 57.0 pts (5,935 votes) | 10,419 | -2.9 pts | 41.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 8,096 | 80.5% | 61.8 pts (6,211 votes) | 10,051 | -4.8 pts | 43.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 33,148 | 31.8% of population |
| 2004 | 32,420 | 36.0% of population |
| 2008 | 32,158 | 36.6% of population |
| 2012 | 31,841 | 33.5% of population |
| 2016 | 30,562 | 34.6% of population |
| 2020 | 28,216 | 36.9% of population |
| 2024 | 27,002 | 37.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Dunklin shifted 57.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Dunklin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Dunklin voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Dunklin has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Dunklin?
Dunklin's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 4.6 points (479 votes) out of 10,525 total votes cast.
Has Dunklin ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Dunklin has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Dunklin?
The widest margin on record for Dunklin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 62.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Dunklin relative to its population?
In 2024, 10,051 votes were recorded in Dunklin against a total population of 27,002 (37.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Dunklin a presidential bellwether county?
Dunklin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).