Cole, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
Cole, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 16.2 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 20,167 | 61.5% | 24.7 pts (8,111 votes) | 32,775 | — | 21.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 24,752 | 67.4% | 35.4 pts (12,999 votes) | 36,701 | -10.4 pts | 28.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 24,385 | 62.9% | 26.9 pts (10,426 votes) | 38,745 | +8.4 pts | 27.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 24,490 | 66.1% | 33.7 pts (12,485 votes) | 37,062 | -7.0 pts | 24.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 24,616 | 65.9% | 36.7 pts (13,703 votes) | 37,374 | -4.4 pts | 18.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 26,086 | 66.0% | 33.9 pts (13,392 votes) | 39,529 | +4.0 pts | 18.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 26,686 | 66.5% | 34.4 pts (13,812 votes) | 40,152 | -0.4 pts | 16.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 71,485 | 45.8% of population |
| 2004 | 72,427 | 50.7% of population |
| 2008 | 74,760 | 51.8% of population |
| 2012 | 76,477 | 48.5% of population |
| 2016 | 76,702 | 48.7% of population |
| 2020 | 76,624 | 51.6% of population |
| 2024 | 77,625 | 51.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cole shifted 9.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Cole has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Cole voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Cole has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Cole?
Cole's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 25.2 points (8,111 votes) out of 32,775 total votes cast.
Has Cole ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Cole has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cole?
The widest margin on record for Cole was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 38.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Cole relative to its population?
In 2024, 40,152 votes were recorded in Cole against a total population of 77,625 (51.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Cole a presidential bellwether county?
Cole has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).