Clinton, Missouri — Presidential Election Results

Clinton, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 29.8 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Missouri
2000 George W. Bush Republican 4,323 50.7% 3.9 pts (329 votes) 8,531 — 0.5 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 5,287 55.4% 11.8 pts (1,122 votes) 9,540 -7.9 pts 4.6 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 5,709 54.6% 11.1 pts (1,164 votes) 10,454 +0.5 pts 11.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 5,931 60.1% 22.7 pts (2,243 votes) 9,861 -12.0 pts 13.8 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 7,067 69.2% 44.0 pts (4,495 votes) 10,208 -23.3 pts 27.0 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 7,799 71.6% 45.0 pts (4,903 votes) 10,888 +0.8 pts 30.2 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 8,235 73.3% 47.9 pts (5,380 votes) 11,230 -2.7 pts 29.8 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 19,046 44.8% of population
2004 20,409 46.7% of population
2008 20,781 50.3% of population
2012 20,560 48.0% of population
2016 20,548 49.7% of population
2020 21,218 51.3% of population
2024 21,721 51.7% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Clinton shifted 44.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+4.0 pts 2004: R+11.9 pts 2008: R+11.4 pts 2012: R+23.3 pts 2016: R+46.6 pts 2020: R+45.8 pts 2024: R+48.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Clinton has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Missouri Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Clinton voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Clinton has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Clinton?

Clinton's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 4.0 points (329 votes) out of 8,531 total votes cast.

Has Clinton ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Clinton has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Clinton?

The widest margin on record for Clinton was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 48.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Clinton relative to its population?

In 2024, 11,230 votes were recorded in Clinton against a total population of 21,721 (51.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Clinton a presidential bellwether county?

Clinton has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).