Carter, Missouri — Presidential Election Results
Carter, Missouri has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 55.8 pts more Rep. than Missouri overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Missouri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,730 | 61.6% | 26.1 pts (733 votes) | 2,808 | — | 23.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,797 | 64.7% | 30.0 pts (833 votes) | 2,779 | -3.3 pts | 22.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,840 | 63.5% | 29.5 pts (856 votes) | 2,898 | -0.1 pts | 30.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,978 | 70.7% | 43.7 pts (1,224 votes) | 2,799 | -14.5 pts | 35.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,324 | 81.7% | 66.4 pts (1,888 votes) | 2,844 | -23.6 pts | 48.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,451 | 84.6% | 70.2 pts (2,033 votes) | 2,897 | -2.5 pts | 55.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,488 | 86.9% | 74.2 pts (2,124 votes) | 2,862 | -3.6 pts | 55.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 5,974 | 47.0% of population |
| 2004 | 5,982 | 46.5% of population |
| 2008 | 6,122 | 47.3% of population |
| 2012 | 6,273 | 44.6% of population |
| 2016 | 6,210 | 45.8% of population |
| 2020 | 5,205 | 55.7% of population |
| 2024 | 5,359 | 53.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Carter shifted 47.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Carter has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Missouri Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Carter voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Carter has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Carter?
Carter's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 26.9 points (733 votes) out of 2,808 total votes cast.
Has Carter ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Carter has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Carter?
The widest margin on record for Carter was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 74.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Carter relative to its population?
In 2024, 2,862 votes were recorded in Carter against a total population of 5,359 (53.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Carter a presidential bellwether county?
Carter has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Missouri's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).