Olmsted, Minnesota — Presidential Election Results
Olmsted, Minnesota has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008. In 2024, it was 6.6 pts more Dem. than Minnesota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 30,641 | 51.6% | 8.1 pts (4,819 votes) | 59,392 | — | 11.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 37,371 | 52.2% | 5.7 pts (4,086 votes) | 71,576 | +2.8 pts | 9.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 38,711 | 50.6% | 3.3 pts (2,509 votes) | 76,470 | +9.1 pts | 7.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 39,338 | 50.2% | 3.2 pts (2,506 votes) | 78,316 | -0.1 pts | 4.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 36,268 | 45.3% | 0.7 pts (600 votes) | 80,129 | -2.5 pts | 0.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 49,491 | 54.2% | 10.7 pts (9,799 votes) | 91,385 | +10.2 pts | 3.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 49,121 | 54.0% | 10.6 pts (9,654 votes) | 90,924 | -0.1 pts | 6.6 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 124,930 | 47.5% of population |
| 2004 | 133,195 | 53.7% of population |
| 2008 | 141,527 | 54.0% of population |
| 2012 | 146,907 | 53.3% of population |
| 2016 | 153,272 | 52.3% of population |
| 2020 | 163,041 | 56.1% of population |
| 2024 | 166,424 | 54.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Olmsted shifted 19.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Olmsted has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Minnesota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Olmsted voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Olmsted has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Olmsted?
Olmsted's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 0.8 points (600 votes) out of 80,129 total votes cast.
Has Olmsted ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Olmsted changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Olmsted?
The widest margin on record for Olmsted was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 11.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Olmsted relative to its population?
In 2024, 90,924 votes were recorded in Olmsted against a total population of 166,424 (54.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Olmsted a presidential bellwether county?
Olmsted has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).