Carver, Minnesota — Presidential Election Results
Carver, Minnesota has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 9.9 pts more Rep. than Minnesota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 20,790 | 59.4% | 23.8 pts (8,328 votes) | 35,021 | — | 27.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 28,510 | 62.8% | 26.5 pts (12,054 votes) | 45,411 | -1.8 pts | 30.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 28,156 | 56.7% | 15.1 pts (7,502 votes) | 49,683 | +11.4 pts | 25.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 31,155 | 58.9% | 19.7 pts (10,410 votes) | 52,899 | -4.7 pts | 27.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 29,056 | 52.2% | 13.6 pts (7,548 votes) | 55,696 | +5.1 pts | 16.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 34,009 | 51.2% | 4.9 pts (3,235 votes) | 66,361 | +9.9 pts | 12.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 35,586 | 51.5% | 5.4 pts (3,717 votes) | 69,160 | -0.5 pts | 9.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 70,843 | 49.4% of population |
| 2004 | 80,473 | 56.4% of population |
| 2008 | 88,812 | 55.9% of population |
| 2012 | 93,863 | 56.4% of population |
| 2016 | 100,374 | 55.5% of population |
| 2020 | 107,307 | 61.8% of population |
| 2024 | 112,628 | 61.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Carver shifted 19.5 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Carver has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Minnesota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Carver voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Carver has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Carver?
Carver's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 5.0 points (3,235 votes) out of 66,361 total votes cast.
Has Carver ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Carver has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Carver?
The widest margin on record for Carver was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 26.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Carver relative to its population?
In 2024, 69,160 votes were recorded in Carver against a total population of 112,628 (61.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Carver a presidential bellwether county?
Carver has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).