Blue Earth, Minnesota — Presidential Election Results

Blue Earth, Minnesota has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 5.6 pts more Rep. than Minnesota overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Minnesota
2000 George W. Bush Republican 12,942 47.2% 2.2 pts (613 votes) 27,402 — 5.0 pts more Rep.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 16,865 50.9% 3.4 pts (1,128 votes) 33,119 +5.9 pts 0.1 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 19,325 55.1% 13.0 pts (4,543 votes) 35,070 +9.9 pts 2.9 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 18,164 53.0% 9.5 pts (3,248 votes) 34,274 -3.5 pts 1.9 pts more Dem.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 15,667 46.6% 3.7 pts (1,239 votes) 33,593 -13.9 pts 5.8 pts more Rep.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 18,330 50.8% 4.4 pts (1,599 votes) 36,051 +8.7 pts 2.7 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 18,001 49.4% 1.2 pts (443 votes) 36,442 -5.8 pts 5.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 55,988 48.9% of population
2004 59,116 56.0% of population
2008 62,860 55.8% of population
2012 64,974 52.8% of population
2016 66,355 50.6% of population
2020 69,196 52.1% of population
2024 70,700 51.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Blue Earth shifted 1.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+2.4 pts 2004: D+3.5 pts 2008: D+13.3 pts 2012: D+9.8 pts 2016: R+4.1 pts 2020: D+4.6 pts 2024: R+1.2 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Blue Earth has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Minnesota Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Blue Earth voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Blue Earth has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Blue Earth?

Blue Earth's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 1.2 points (443 votes) out of 36,442 total votes cast.

Has Blue Earth ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Blue Earth changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2016, 2020, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Blue Earth?

The widest margin on record for Blue Earth was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 13.3 points.

How many votes were cast in Blue Earth relative to its population?

In 2024, 36,442 votes were recorded in Blue Earth against a total population of 70,700 (51.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Blue Earth a presidential bellwether county?

Blue Earth has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).