Aitkin, Minnesota — Presidential Election Results
Aitkin, Minnesota has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 35.7 pts more Rep. than Minnesota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 3,830 | 46.4% | 0.9 pts (75 votes) | 8,260 | — | 1.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,768 | 50.4% | 2.4 pts (229 votes) | 9,452 | -3.4 pts | 6.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 4,595 | 48.8% | 0.1 pts (6 votes) | 9,410 | +2.5 pts | 10.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,533 | 49.6% | 1.3 pts (121 votes) | 9,142 | -1.4 pts | 9.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,516 | 59.8% | 25.8 pts (2,382 votes) | 9,231 | -26.2 pts | 29.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,258 | 62.4% | 26.4 pts (2,651 votes) | 10,025 | +0.7 pts | 34.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 6,741 | 64.5% | 30.8 pts (3,217 votes) | 10,446 | -4.5 pts | 35.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 15,282 | 54.1% of population |
| 2004 | 16,028 | 59.0% of population |
| 2008 | 16,422 | 57.3% of population |
| 2012 | 16,036 | 57.0% of population |
| 2016 | 15,754 | 58.6% of population |
| 2020 | 15,714 | 63.8% of population |
| 2024 | 16,335 | 63.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Aitkin shifted 32.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Aitkin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Minnesota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Aitkin voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Aitkin has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Aitkin?
Aitkin's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 0.1 points (6 votes) out of 9,410 total votes cast.
Has Aitkin ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Aitkin changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Aitkin?
The widest margin on record for Aitkin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 31.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Aitkin relative to its population?
In 2024, 10,446 votes were recorded in Aitkin against a total population of 16,335 (63.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Aitkin a presidential bellwether county?
Aitkin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).