Nobles, Minnesota — Presidential Election Results
Nobles, Minnesota has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 40.5 pts more Rep. than Minnesota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,766 | 53.7% | 11.3 pts (1,006 votes) | 8,872 | — | 14.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,159 | 56.1% | 13.7 pts (1,261 votes) | 9,204 | -2.1 pts | 17.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 4,368 | 49.6% | 1.4 pts (124 votes) | 8,813 | +12.5 pts | 11.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 4,581 | 53.8% | 9.2 pts (788 votes) | 8,520 | -8.0 pts | 17.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 5,299 | 61.4% | 29.7 pts (2,566 votes) | 8,632 | -22.5 pts | 33.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,600 | 64.3% | 30.6 pts (2,667 votes) | 8,715 | +0.7 pts | 38.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,541 | 67.0% | 35.6 pts (2,942 votes) | 8,275 | -4.9 pts | 40.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 20,791 | 42.7% of population |
| 2004 | 20,629 | 44.6% of population |
| 2008 | 21,126 | 41.7% of population |
| 2012 | 21,736 | 39.2% of population |
| 2016 | 21,878 | 39.5% of population |
| 2020 | 22,207 | 39.2% of population |
| 2024 | 21,969 | 37.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Nobles shifted 24.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Nobles has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Minnesota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Nobles voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Nobles has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Nobles?
Nobles's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 1.4 points (124 votes) out of 8,813 total votes cast.
Has Nobles ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Nobles has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Nobles?
The widest margin on record for Nobles was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 36.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Nobles relative to its population?
In 2024, 8,275 votes were recorded in Nobles against a total population of 21,969 (37.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Nobles a presidential bellwether county?
Nobles has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).