Nicollet, Minnesota — Presidential Election Results
Nicollet, Minnesota has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 4.9 pts more Rep. than Minnesota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,221 | 47.1% | 1.2 pts (180 votes) | 15,327 | — | 3.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 8,797 | 49.6% | 0.6 pts (108 votes) | 17,741 | +1.9 pts | 2.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 9,887 | 54.2% | 10.5 pts (1,919 votes) | 18,245 | +10.1 pts | 0.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 9,652 | 52.6% | 7.8 pts (1,438 votes) | 18,357 | -2.7 pts | 0.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 8,437 | 46.6% | 3.0 pts (551 votes) | 18,097 | -11.4 pts | 5.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 9,622 | 50.3% | 3.2 pts (604 votes) | 19,125 | +6.6 pts | 4.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 9,540 | 49.1% | 0.5 pts (99 votes) | 19,417 | -3.8 pts | 4.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 29,904 | 51.3% of population |
| 2004 | 31,036 | 57.2% of population |
| 2008 | 32,261 | 56.6% of population |
| 2012 | 33,020 | 55.6% of population |
| 2016 | 33,720 | 53.7% of population |
| 2020 | 34,498 | 55.4% of population |
| 2024 | 34,493 | 56.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Nicollet shifted 0.7 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Nicollet has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Minnesota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Nicollet voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Nicollet has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Nicollet?
Nicollet's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 0.5 points (99 votes) out of 19,417 total votes cast.
Has Nicollet ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Nicollet changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2016, 2020, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Nicollet?
The widest margin on record for Nicollet was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 10.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Nicollet relative to its population?
In 2024, 19,417 votes were recorded in Nicollet against a total population of 34,493 (56.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Nicollet a presidential bellwether county?
Nicollet has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).