Itasca, Minnesota — Presidential Election Results
Itasca, Minnesota has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 24.8 pts more Rep. than Minnesota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 10,583 | 48.7% | 4.8 pts (1,038 votes) | 21,714 | — | 2.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 13,290 | 54.5% | 10.6 pts (2,585 votes) | 24,367 | +5.6 pts | 7.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 13,460 | 55.2% | 12.9 pts (3,151 votes) | 24,395 | +2.5 pts | 2.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 12,852 | 53.7% | 9.8 pts (2,351 votes) | 23,919 | -3.2 pts | 2.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 12,920 | 54.1% | 16.4 pts (3,905 votes) | 23,880 | -27.9 pts | 19.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 15,239 | 57.4% | 16.8 pts (4,453 votes) | 26,561 | +0.7 pts | 24.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 15,863 | 59.1% | 20.1 pts (5,396 votes) | 26,840 | -3.4 pts | 24.8 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 43,927 | 49.4% of population |
| 2004 | 44,221 | 55.1% of population |
| 2008 | 44,852 | 54.4% of population |
| 2012 | 45,152 | 53.0% of population |
| 2016 | 45,168 | 52.9% of population |
| 2020 | 45,043 | 59.0% of population |
| 2024 | 45,442 | 59.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Itasca shifted 25.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Itasca has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Minnesota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Itasca voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Itasca has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Itasca?
Itasca's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 5.2 points (1,038 votes) out of 21,714 total votes cast.
Has Itasca ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Itasca changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Itasca?
The widest margin on record for Itasca was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 20.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Itasca relative to its population?
In 2024, 26,840 votes were recorded in Itasca against a total population of 45,442 (59.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Itasca a presidential bellwether county?
Itasca has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).