Crow Wing, Minnesota — Presidential Election Results
Crow Wing, Minnesota has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 36.2 pts more Rep. than Minnesota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 15,035 | 53.5% | 13.4 pts (3,780 votes) | 28,128 | — | 17.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 19,106 | 57.0% | 15.2 pts (5,101 votes) | 33,545 | -1.0 pts | 18.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 18,567 | 52.8% | 7.7 pts (2,708 votes) | 35,165 | +7.5 pts | 18.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 19,415 | 55.6% | 13.3 pts (4,655 votes) | 34,920 | -5.8 pts | 21.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 22,287 | 62.2% | 31.5 pts (11,305 votes) | 35,842 | -20.4 pts | 35.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 25,676 | 63.9% | 29.7 pts (11,950 votes) | 40,173 | +3.7 pts | 37.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 27,423 | 64.7% | 31.3 pts (13,250 votes) | 42,366 | -1.5 pts | 36.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 55,184 | 51.0% of population |
| 2004 | 58,814 | 57.0% of population |
| 2008 | 62,178 | 56.6% of population |
| 2012 | 62,810 | 55.6% of population |
| 2016 | 63,729 | 56.2% of population |
| 2020 | 66,285 | 60.6% of population |
| 2024 | 68,642 | 61.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Crow Wing shifted 17.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Crow Wing has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Minnesota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Crow Wing voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Crow Wing has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Crow Wing?
Crow Wing's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 7.9 points (2,708 votes) out of 35,165 total votes cast.
Has Crow Wing ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Crow Wing has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Crow Wing?
The widest margin on record for Crow Wing was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 34.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Crow Wing relative to its population?
In 2024, 42,366 votes were recorded in Crow Wing against a total population of 68,642 (61.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Crow Wing a presidential bellwether county?
Crow Wing has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).