Chisago, Minnesota — Presidential Election Results

Chisago, Minnesota has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 36.3 pts more Rep. than Minnesota overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Minnesota
2000 George W. Bush Republican 10,937 49.7% 6.1 pts (1,344 votes) 21,987 — 9.1 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 15,705 55.6% 12.3 pts (3,486 votes) 28,260 -5.9 pts 16.0 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 15,789 53.9% 10.3 pts (3,006 votes) 29,305 +2.0 pts 21.0 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 16,227 55.1% 12.6 pts (3,703 votes) 29,441 -2.4 pts 20.8 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 18,441 61.0% 30.3 pts (9,163 votes) 30,228 -20.2 pts 34.7 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 21,916 63.4% 29.2 pts (10,110 votes) 34,570 +3.1 pts 37.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 23,047 64.7% 31.3 pts (11,153 votes) 35,601 -1.9 pts 36.3 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 41,611 52.8% of population
2004 49,054 57.6% of population
2008 53,012 55.3% of population
2012 53,465 55.1% of population
2016 54,638 55.3% of population
2020 56,718 61.0% of population
2024 59,105 60.2% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Chisago shifted 25.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+6.5 pts 2004: R+12.5 pts 2008: R+10.5 pts 2012: R+12.9 pts 2016: R+33.1 pts 2020: R+30.0 pts 2024: R+31.9 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Chisago has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Minnesota Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Chisago voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Chisago has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Chisago?

Chisago's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 6.5 points (1,344 votes) out of 21,987 total votes cast.

Has Chisago ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Chisago has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Chisago?

The widest margin on record for Chisago was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 33.1 points.

How many votes were cast in Chisago relative to its population?

In 2024, 35,601 votes were recorded in Chisago against a total population of 59,105 (60.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Chisago a presidential bellwether county?

Chisago has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Minnesota's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).