St. Johns, Florida — Presidential Election Results
St. Johns, Florida has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 18.4 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 39,546 | 65.1% | 33.0 pts (20,044 votes) | 60,746 | — | 33.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 59,196 | 68.6% | 38.0 pts (32,797 votes) | 86,290 | -4.4 pts | 33.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 69,222 | 65.4% | 31.6 pts (33,431 votes) | 105,844 | +6.5 pts | 34.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 78,513 | 68.4% | 37.7 pts (43,323 votes) | 114,795 | -6.3 pts | 39.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 88,684 | 65.0% | 33.4 pts (45,585 votes) | 136,514 | +3.5 pts | 33.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 110,946 | 62.8% | 26.7 pts (47,096 votes) | 176,622 | +7.6 pts | 23.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 128,759 | 65.2% | 31.3 pts (61,897 votes) | 197,457 | -4.7 pts | 18.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 124,522 | 48.8% of population |
| 2004 | 151,717 | 56.9% of population |
| 2008 | 181,720 | 58.2% of population |
| 2012 | 202,066 | 56.8% of population |
| 2016 | 234,828 | 58.1% of population |
| 2020 | 277,105 | 63.7% of population |
| 2024 | 334,928 | 59.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in St. Johns shifted 2.3 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
St. Johns has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has St. Johns voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, St. Johns has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in St. Johns?
St. Johns's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 26.9 points (47,096 votes) out of 176,622 total votes cast.
Has St. Johns ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- St. Johns has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in St. Johns?
The widest margin on record for St. Johns was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 38.3 points.
How many votes were cast in St. Johns relative to its population?
In 2024, 197,457 votes were recorded in St. Johns against a total population of 334,928 (59.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is St. Johns a presidential bellwether county?
St. Johns has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).