Baker, Florida — Presidential Election Results
Baker, Florida has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 60.2 pts more Rep. than Florida overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,610 | 68.8% | 39.5 pts (3,218 votes) | 8,154 | — | 40.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,738 | 77.7% | 55.8 pts (5,558 votes) | 9,955 | -15.8 pts | 51.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 8,672 | 78.4% | 57.4 pts (6,345 votes) | 11,059 | -1.6 pts | 60.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 8,975 | 78.9% | 58.6 pts (6,664 votes) | 11,368 | -1.4 pts | 59.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 10,294 | 81.5% | 64.8 pts (8,182 votes) | 12,634 | -6.9 pts | 64.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 11,911 | 84.7% | 70.2 pts (9,874 votes) | 14,059 | -4.8 pts | 67.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,926 | 86.3% | 73.1 pts (10,944 votes) | 14,977 | -2.6 pts | 60.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 22,374 | 36.4% of population |
| 2004 | 24,142 | 41.2% of population |
| 2008 | 26,725 | 41.4% of population |
| 2012 | 27,053 | 42.0% of population |
| 2016 | 27,884 | 45.3% of population |
| 2020 | 28,122 | 50.0% of population |
| 2024 | 29,325 | 51.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Baker shifted 33.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Baker has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Florida Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Baker voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Baker has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Baker?
Baker's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 40.2 points (3,218 votes) out of 8,154 total votes cast.
Has Baker ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Baker has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Baker?
The widest margin on record for Baker was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 73.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Baker relative to its population?
In 2024, 14,977 votes were recorded in Baker against a total population of 29,325 (51.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Baker a presidential bellwether county?
Baker has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Florida's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).